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Terrorism Bad News for Economy, with One Exception: Postive Impact Reported for Defense, Security Stocks

01.09.06 - New research from the Milken Institute suggests that terrorists are getting what they want: creating not only political and social damage but economic harm as well.

"Economically speaking, terrorism may be winning," said Glenn Yago, director of Capital Studies at the Milken Institute.

In the new paper, "The Economic Impacts of Global Terrorism: From Munich to Bali," the institute finds that contrary to research which has minimized or emphasized the transitory impact of these attacks, terrorism has had a large financial and economic impact, especially as terrorists have shifted their attacks from government to civilian targets.

It also shows that the marked increase in private-sector targets since the late-1990s had a consistently negative and significant impact on economic growth and investment across countries, with one exception: the number of terrorist events have had a positive impact on traded value of defense and security industry stocks.

The paper can be viewed online at www.milkeninstitute.org.



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